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Financial markets need the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. This would permit inflation to subside, keep bond yields in check, head off a renewed central bank tightening cycle, and improve the prospects for corporate earnings.
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The technical backdrop for equity markets remains positive with healthy participation across sectors. However, a breakout by U.S. long-term rates above their 2.5-year trading ranges would risk the equity market cycle that began in Q4 2022.
