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Analysis (8)

European Union flags

Can Europe meet the moment?

Feb 12, 2026 |Frédérique Carrier

The euro area defied expectations in 2025, delivering growth amid a challenging environment. Yet beneath this resilience, Europe has started to redraw its economic and strategic maps.

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Federal Reserve

Trump Warshes his hands of Powell

Feb 06, 2026 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

President Donald Trump’s campaign to get rid of Fed Chair Jerome Powell culminated in the most likely outcome—simply nominating a replacement. With Kevin Warsh on track to be the next chair, we look at the potential economic and market impacts.

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Global Insight large network server

Big Tech’s AI expansion: From investment to scalable returns

Feb 03, 2026 |Joseph Wu, CFA

AI investment has more runway ahead, in our view. A shift toward monetization, return on investment, and enterprise applications strengthens the case for diversifying beyond Big Tech to capture broader opportunities.

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Bonds

Crosscurrents buffet U.S. dollar and Treasury market

Jan 30, 2026 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Global and domestic headlines have put the focus squarely on U.S. sovereign assets. We look at what steps investors should take in this time of shifting economic messages.

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Narrow path

The “Great Narrowing”: S&P 500 concentration

Jan 23, 2026 |Tyler Frawley, CFA

Over the past decade, the S&P 500, which has historically been viewed as a balanced cross-section of the U.S. economy, has slowly transformed into a tech- and AI-dominated index. We believe this “Great Narrowing” should be top of mind for investors.

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New York Stock Exchange

U.S. equity returns in 2025: Record-breaking resilience

Jan 08, 2026 |Kelly Bogdanova

U.S. stocks powered through tariff turbulence on the way to all-time highs. But it’s only natural to question whether the three-year winning streak can be extended. We look at what drove equities in 2025 and how prospects for 2026 are shaping up.

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San Francisco Ariel View - Global Insight 2026 Outlook

Global Insight 2026 Outlook: United States

Dec 02, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova & Thomas Garretson, CFA

Stock and bond market returns face high hurdles in 2026, but we think the former should be given the benefit of the doubt.

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Employee pushes cart through servers in a data center.

AI’s big leaps in 2025

Oct 06, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

AI is seldom out of the headlines in 2025, with defining developments coming one after another. We look at where AI is today and how its promise is matched against technological, economic, and geopolitical challenges.

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