Insights

Higher productivity has propelled the U.S. economy ahead of its major peers in recent years, offering a blueprint for other countries and raising the stakes in the global race to harness emergent technologies such as GenAI.

With a second Trump administration in the U.S. eyeing an ambitious agenda and trade tensions coming to the fore, how should investors position portfolios? Our 2025 Outlook examines the issues and opportunities facing economies and markets in 2025.

Amid efforts to stimulate growth in the face of economic challenges, we see selective long-term opportunities in both equities and fixed income.

Trade and internal tensions are likely to play key roles in 2025, as potential tariffs and political disruptions cloud the picture.

Asia’s equity outlook will likely depend on U.S. tariffs, China’s stimulus and Japan’s structural changes. Stable fundamentals support cautious optimism for investment-grade bonds.

Despite potential headwinds, we are generally constructive on Canadian markets, though we expect less outperformance in credit.

In 2025, global equity markets may be able to add to the remarkable gains of the past two years. That will require economic and earnings pictures that don’t falter.

Four powerful trends involving game-changing innovations and demographic changes are set to play out in the global economy over the coming decades. We believe they can provide an attractive way to plug investment portfolios into the future.

How can investors separate the policy changes that are likely to really matter for the economy from those that get a lot of press but may not have the most traction?

The Fed has cut policy rates by 75 basis points since September only to see longer-term Treasury yields and mortgage rates increase by the same degree. We take a closer look at this divergence and its implications.