Latest Insights

U.S. equity returns in 2025: Record-breaking resilience

U.S. stocks powered through tariff turbulence on the way to all-time highs. But it’s only natural to question whether the three-year winning streak can be extended. We look at what drove equities in 2025 and how prospects for 2026 are shaping up.

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Building on a narrow base

Long-term economic trends have left the U.S. economy increasingly reliant on spending by upper-income households. We unpack the potential implications for economic stability and Federal Reserve policymaking.

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Executive summary: Global Insight 2026 Outlook

The future is here … and gathering speed. We share key insights from our Global Insight 2026 Outlook, highlighting the forces likely to shape financial markets as well as potential investment opportunities for the year ahead and beyond.

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The Fed takes a turn down easy street

Another rate cut from the Federal Reserve this week has taken U.S. interest rates into a new era where we think every rate cut not only means that policy gets easier, but risks becoming too easy, all while the decisions only get harder.

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S&P 500 rally: When a rising tide lifts some boats more than others

The rally in 2025 and throughout the longer bull market cycle has been uneven, with the largest of large-cap stocks dominating. Key charts illustrate this phenomenon, and we discuss how to factor this into portfolio strategies.

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